Who Can Win It All?

It's time to break down the field. I don't know how to pick a decent bracket. I do know a little bit about determining possible champions. Of the 65 teams, only 13 (20% of the field) have any real chance to win it all.

Florida
Maryland
Oregon
Wisconsin
Kansas
UCLA
North Carolina
Texas
Washington State
Georgetown
Ohio State
Texas A&M
Memphis

There are a few rules to this. You pretty much need to have Final Four experience to win it all. That rules out Oregon, Wisconsin, Kansas, Washington State, Georgetown, Ohio State, and Texas A&M. That leaves us with six teams.

Florida
Maryland
UCLA
North Carolina
Texas
Memphis

Memphis isn't from a decent conference, so it is out. UCLA and Maryland lost in the first rounds of their conference tournaments, so they are out. The only other factors are abundant NBA talent and elite players, which both abound on the three remaining teams. So there you have it.

The 2007 national champion will be Florida, North Carolina, or Texas.*

*The NBA early entry rule might mess things up, so you can consider Ohio State as a dark horse candidate because of Greg Oden.