We got a big (and unexpected, given our past performances) win against Indiana last night that gives our NCAA Quest a big boost. Our RPI has risen to 46, leaving us on the bubble (RPI 40-50). I feel comfortable asserting that Illinois will beat any team with a >125 RPI on the road and a >50 RPI at AH. I'm also sad to say that I expect Illinois to lose to any team with a <20 RPI at AH (revised from <25 after last night's performance) and a <50 RPI on the road. That gives us 3 automatic wins (Minnesota (184), NW (125), @PSU (159)) and 2 automatic losses (@Purdue (48), @Indiana (22)) in the remaining schedule and puts us at 6-6 in the Big Ten. That leaves 4 "swing" games:
1/30 MSU (RPI 27)
2/7 @NW (125)
2/21 Michigan (39)
3/3 @Iowa (114)
I think we are looking at 9-7 or 10-6 in the Big Ten and we'll be on the good side of the bubble with a chance to ice things in the Big Ten Tournament. If this team keeps improving and can somehow steal an unlikely win @Purdue then we will really be in business.
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